US Federal Reserve Meeting Live: Key Takeaways From FOMC Interest Rate Decision

  • The Federal Open Market Committee kept the benchmark interest rate steady in the 4.25%-4.5% range.

  • The latest dot plot indicates policymakers still project two rate cuts in 2025, unchanged from December, with a half-percentage point reduction expected.

  • The statement now acknowledges increased uncertainty in the economic outlook, removing language that previously said risks to employment and inflation were “roughly in balance.”

  • The median Fed official raised the core inflation projection for 2025 to 2.8% from 2.5% in December, while the growth estimate was cut to 1.7% from 2.1%.

  • The Fed plans to slow the runoff of its securities holdings from April by reducing Treasury securities redemptions to $5 billion from $25 billion, while keeping agency debt and mortgage-backed securities redemptions at $35 billion.

  • Governor Christopher Waller dissented, favouring an unchanged pace of balance-sheet runoff. This marks his third dissent since the Fed started reducing rates in September, though he supported holding rates steady.

Source: Bloomberg

US Fed Meeting Live: S&P 500 Headed For Best Fed Day Since July 2022 

  • The US equity benchmark S&P 500 is on track for its best performance since July 2022.

US Fed Meeting Live: Powell’s Press Conference Ends

US Fed Meeting Live: Powell Declines To Comment On DOGE-Derived Savings

Powell declined to comment on fiscal matters when asked about potential for DOGE-derived savings being routed to households in check form.

Here are other highlights:

  • Powell did not provide a direct answer on whether the QT slowdown is permanent but indicated a shift in that direction.

  • On QT policy, Powell said, “We considered both pausing and slowing, and there was strong consensus in favour of slowing.”

  • Powell declined to comment on fiscal policy when asked about potential DOGE-derived savings being distributed to households.

  • Powell dismissed speculation that the Fed might halt MBS runoff, stating that the process will continue.

  • Sees no reason to expect a repeat of 1970s inflation.

  • Powell notes that inflation was around 2.5% before accounting for tariffs.

  • The Fed prioritises material and consistent shifts in financial conditions over stock market movements.

  • Powell declines to give an opinion on specific markets but reiterates that while soft data has weakened, hard data remains solid.

  • Powell confirms there are no plans to slow the Fed’s reduction of mortgage-backed securities.

Source: Bloomberg

US Fed Meeting Live: Powell Says Inflation Trend Is Moving In Right Direction

Here are the key highlights from Powell’s statement:

  • Powell rejected the idea that long-term inflation expectations are rising.

  • Inflation is heading in the right direction and appears to be decoupled from tariff effects, a key topic of discussion.

  • There is no evidence that the slowdown in quantitative tightening signals a broader change in monetary policy.

  • The Federal Reserve is moving at a slower pace towards achieving an ample level of reserves.

  • While economic data remains strong, public sentiment is weaker, possibly due to price levels.

  • Inflation in the housing services sector has been performing well after being a concern for some time.

US Fed Meeting: Powell Dismisses Long-Term Inflation Concerns

  • Powell rejects the idea that long-term inflation expectations are rising.

  • Powell says inflation is moving in the right direction and appears to be less linked to tariffs, a key topic in recent discussions.

Source: Bloomberg

US Fed Interest Rates Live: Powell Speaks On Tariffs Impact On Inflation

  • Powell avoids using the term “transitory” but signals that inflationary effects from tariffs are unlikely to persist.

  • Powell states that recession risks have increased but remain low, estimating the probability at roughly one in four over the next 12 months.

  • Powell clarifies that the Fed does not forecast recessions, though he acknowledges that some economists have raised their estimates.

  • Powell addresses the impact of tariffs on inflation, stating that while past effects were clear, the current situation remains uncertain.

Fed’s Powell Live: Unemployment Close To Natural Level, Powell Says

  • The US job market remains stable despite the GDP downgrade. He highlights that hiring and firing rates have been balanced over the past six months. Powell, however, notes that a rise in layoffs could quickly affect unemployment.

  • Powell states that unemployment is close to its natural level, indicating that the labour market remains resilient.

  • Powell acknowledges uncertainty about the economic impact of tariffs and policy changes, stating that it is difficult to predict how they will unfold.

  • Powell suggests that policymakers do not anticipate a long-term inflation impact from tariffs, as core PCE inflation forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged.

  • Powell points out that washing machine tariffs led to price increases for dryers, even though they were not subject to tariffs.

  • Powell notes that it is too early to observe significant economic effects from recent policies, suggesting that any impact has yet to appear in the data.

  • Powell describes recent unexpected increases in goods-price inflation as potentially linked to tariffs, though he acknowledges difficulty in establishing a direct connection.

US Fed Meeting: Powell On Fiscal Policies and Inflation Expectations

  • Fed chief Jerome Powell said the overall impact of policy changes will influence both the economy and monetary policy direction.

  • US Federal Reserve Meeting – Powell highlighted that changes in trade, immigration, fiscal policy, and regulation will affect the economy, though he did not specify how. He emphasised that the Fed is closely monitoring developments.

  • Fed Rate Cut – Powell noted that some inflation expectations have risen but stated that most long-term expectations remain in line with the Fed’s 2% target.

US Fed Interest Rate Decision: Dot Plot Projections

  • FOMC median 2025 unemployment projection rises to 4.4%.

  • FOMC median forecast shows rates At 3.4% in 2026 and 3.1% in 2027

  • FOMC Median Forecast Shows 2025 GDP At 1.7% versus 2.1% in December

US Fed Meeting: Dot Plot Says Policymakers Split On Rate Cut Projections

The latest dot plot showed a significant shift in policymakers’ rate cut expectations. While the median still signals two cuts in 2025, projections have become more dispersed:

  • Nine officials anticipate two cuts, down from 10 in December.

  • Eight policymakers now expect one or no cuts, doubling from four in December.

  • Two foresee three cuts, while none expect more than that—compared to five in December who projected at least three cuts.

US FOMC Decision Live: Increase In Economic Outlook Uncertainties

Economic uncertainty has risen, prompting the Federal Reserve to take a cautious approach to future interest rate decisions, the US Federal Reserve said in a statement.

The Fed will closely monitor incoming data, reassess the outlook, and weigh potential risks before making any further adjustments to interest rates, it said, adding that if risks emerge that could hinder achieving its goals, the Fed stands ready to adjust its monetary policy stance accordingly.

Fed’s decision-making process will consider various factors, including labour market trends, inflation dynamics, financial market conditions, and global economic developments.

US FOMC Decision Live: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Action Passed With One Dissenting Vote

The Federal Reserve voted 11-1 in favor of the monetary policy action. The majority, led by Chair Jerome H Powell, supported the decision. The sole dissenter, Christopher J Waller, opposed the move, advocating instead for no change to the federal funds target range and a continued reduction in securities holdings at its current pace.

US FOMC Decision Live: Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Again

The US Federal reserve’s interest rate remained unchanged at 4.25-4.5% for the second time in a row as anticipated widely.

US FOMC Meet Live: Fed Policymakers Weigh Trump’s Economic Policies

Federal Reserve officials are monitoring the impact of President Donald Trump’s economic policies, including increased tariffs and stricter immigration measures, on inflation, the labour market, and growth.

While viewing economic risks as balanced, policymakers saw potential inflationary pressures. “Participants cited the possible effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy, the potential for geopolitical developments to disrupt supply chains, or stronger-than-expected household spending,” the minutes stated.

Fed Chief Jerome Powell: Inflation Progress Made, But More Work Remains

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the latest inflation data show significant progress but stressed that the central bank still has more to do. He indicated that interest rates would remain restrictive for now.

Speaking to the House Financial Services Committee on Feb. 12 during his semi-annual testimony, Powell noted that inflation was at 2.6% last year but had not yet reached the Fed’s target. He emphasised the need to maintain a restrictive policy stance to ensure further progress.

US Fed Meeting: Tariff impact On inflation Will Be Temporary, Says Treasury’s Bessent

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed concerns that President Donald Trump’s tariff hikes would drive a new wave of inflation, arguing that the Federal Reserve should treat them as a one-time price adjustment. Speaking at the Economic Club of New York on March 6, Bessent said he had agreed not to comment on future Fed policy but criticised past inflation assessments, referencing the Fed’s 2021 misjudgment on transitory inflation.

He pointed out that crude oil prices have fallen since Trump took office, while US bond yields and mortgage rates have declined even as European and Japanese yields have risen.

US Federal Reserve Meeting: Economic Growth Remains Slow As Tariff Concerns Rise, Says Fed Report

The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book report, released on March 5, indicated that economic activity grew slightly since mid-January, but businesses expressed concerns over uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s policies, particularly on tariffs. The report, compiled by the Minneapolis Fed using data gathered by February 24, noted that several regions saw prices rising faster than in the previous period.

Mentions of tariffs appeared 49 times in the report, with firms expecting cost increases to lead to higher prices, and some already raising prices preemptively. The Fed also highlighted that unusual weather conditions affected demand for leisure and hospitality, while lower-income consumers showed increased price sensitivity on discretionary spending.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Hold Gains, Dollar Edges Higher

At 11 pm

  • S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 5,638

  • Dow Jones increased 0.56% to 41,815.39

  • Nasdaq 100 rallied 1.18% to 19,713.56

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.6% to 103.54

  • US 10-year treasury yields stood at 4.315%

US Federal Reserve Meeting: Tariffs Expected To Push Inflation Higher, Says Fed’s Williams

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said tariffs are likely to contribute to inflation but acknowledged uncertainty over their broader economic impact. Speaking at the Bloomberg Invest conference in New York on March 4, Williams said he expects some effects of tariffs to appear later this year, influencing both prices and economic activity.

Williams noted that tariffs could affect business investment and consumer spending, adding to economic uncertainty. When asked about potential interest rate changes at the upcoming Fed meeting, he said monetary policy remains appropriately restrictive and does not require immediate adjustments. He reiterated that inflation is expected to gradually move toward the Fed’s 2% target.

US FOMC Meeting Live: Inflation Expectations Must Stay Anchored, Says Fed’s Musalem

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said keeping inflation expectations stable is crucial if policymakers face conflicting economic goals. Speaking at a National Association for Business Economics conference in Washington on March 3, Musalem said price growth is expected to moderate toward the Fed’s 2% target but warned against expectations becoming unanchored.

He noted that concerns over higher prices and slower growth could complicate policy decisions. Musalem reiterated that monetary policy should remain “modestly restrictive” until there is clearer evidence that inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s goal.

US Fed Meeting Live: Tariffs May Increase Everyday Costs For US Consumers, Finds Fed Paper

A new study from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggests that President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada could lead to higher prices for US consumers. The extent of the increase depends on how much businesses pass on the tariff costs, with consumer expenses potentially rising by 0.81% if half the costs are transferred or by 1.63% if fully passed through.

The research, published on Feb. 28, highlights that while tariffs generate revenue and support domestic producers, firms typically shift some costs onto consumers. The study, authored by Atlanta Fed researchers, warns that tariffs could impact the affordability of imported goods.

US Fed Meeting Live: Policy Patience Needed As Inflation Trends Remain Key, Says Hammack

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said interest rates are not “meaningfully restrictive” and should remain steady while policymakers assess inflation trends. She stressed the importance of monitoring inflation expectations and financial conditions to determine if the Fed’s current stance is effectively curbing price growth.

Speaking at a conference in New York on February 27, Hammack said a patient approach would allow time to evaluate economic conditions, including labour market performance and inflation, before adjusting monetary policy.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Hold Gains, Dollar Rises

At 10:30 pm IST

  • S&P Dow Jones increased 0.56% to 41,815.39

  • Nasdaq 100 gained 1.18% to 19,713.56

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.47% to 103.375

  • US 10-year treasury yields stood at 4.310%

US FOMC Meet Live: Fed May Need To Weigh Inflation Risks Against Growth Concerns, Says Schmid

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeff Schmid warned that the central bank could soon face a trade-off between controlling inflation and addressing economic growth concerns. He noted that while inflation risks remain on the upside, uncertainty in his district and recent data suggest potential pressure on growth.

Speaking in Arlington, Virginia, on Feb. 27, Schmid said the Fed may need to balance these risks carefully. His remarks come amid market concerns over stagflation, with Treasury yields falling as investors assess the impact of the Trump administration’s tariff policies on economic output.

US Fed Meeting: Interest Rates Should Stay Restrictive To Control Inflation, Says Bostic

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said the central bank should maintain interest rates at their current restrictive levels to keep downward pressure on inflation. Speaking at a housing conference in Atlanta on Feb. 26, he emphasised that while the Fed has met its employment mandate, achieving price stability remains a priority.

Policymakers left rates unchanged last month to assess further inflation progress and evaluate the potential impact of President Donald Trump’s policies on the economy.

US Fed Meeting: Financial Stability And Monetary Policy Are Closely Linked, Says Former Fed Official Barr

Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said monetary policy and financial stability are “inextricably linked.” Speaking at the Yale School of Management on Feb. 25, he highlighted the importance of strong regulation and the Fed’s independence.

His remarks came after President Donald Trump issued an executive order aimed at increasing White House oversight of independent agencies, including the Fed’s regulatory work. Barr, who left his role on March 3 but remains on the Fed’s Board of Governors, did not address the order directly but defended the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, whose funding has been suspended by the administration.

US FOMC: Goolsbee Warns Against Overestimating Productivity Gains, Citing Economic Risks

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee cautioned against excessive optimism over recent productivity growth, warning it could lead to economic overheating. In an interview with Bloomberg News on Feb. 28, he said over-anticipation of productivity booms might trigger an investment overhang, similar to the one seen in 2000 before a recession.

Goolsbee noted that such overheating could force the Fed to take a more cautious stance on inflation control. He is set to elaborate on these concerns in a speech at Stanford University, where he described the recent surge in productivity as “weird and lovely” in his prepared remarks.

US Fed Meeting Live: Tariffs Could Raise Consumer Costs, Atlanta Fed Research Finds

A Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta study suggests that tariffs proposed by President Donald Trump on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada could increase everyday costs for US consumers. The extent of price hikes depends on how much of the tariff burden businesses pass on to consumers, with estimates ranging from a 0.81% rise if half the costs are passed through to 1.63% if fully transferred.

The research, published on Feb. 28, highlights that while tariffs generate revenue and support domestic producers, they also tend to raise prices on imported goods. The study was conducted by Atlanta Fed researchers Salomé Baslandze, Simon Fuchs, KC Pringle, and Michael Dwight Sparks.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets, Dollar Hold Gains

At 10 pm

  • S&P 500 gained 0.81% to 5,660.01

  • Dow Jones rose 0.56% to 41,815.39

  • Nasdaq 100 increased 1.18% to 19,713.56

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.46% to 103.37

  • US 10-year treasury yields stood at 4.301%

US Fed Meeting: Policy Remains Restrictive Enough To Curb Inflation, Says Harker

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker signalled support for keeping interest rates steady, stating that the current policy stance is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation down without harming the broader economy.

Speaking at the University of Delaware on February 27, Harker emphasised that maintaining the current rate levels would sustain downward pressure on inflation over the long term. His comments align with the Fed’s cautious approach as it monitors economic conditions.

US Fed Meeting: Rates Not Significantly Restrictive But Should Stay Steady, Says Hammack

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said interest rates are not “meaningfully restrictive” but should remain unchanged for now as the Fed waits for clear signs that inflation is returning to its 2% target.

Speaking at a conference in New York on Feb. 27, Hammack emphasised a patient approach, allowing time to assess labour market trends, inflation, and broader economic conditions before considering any rate adjustments.

US Fed Meeting: Schmid Warns Of Balancing Inflation Risks And Growth Concerns

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeff Schmid cautioned that the Fed may need to balance inflation risks with concerns over economic growth, as rising inflation expectations coincide with signs of uncertainty in the economy.

Speaking in Arlington, Virginia, on February 27, Schmid noted that discussions with local contacts and recent data suggest economic uncertainty could weigh on growth, raising the possibility of stagflation—where inflation remains high while growth slows.

US Fed Meeting: Bostic Supports Keeping Rates Restrictive To Control Inflation

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said interest rates should remain at current levels to maintain downward pressure on inflation.

Speaking at a housing conference in Atlanta on Feb. 26, Bostic noted that while the Fed has met its employment mandate, price stability remains a priority, requiring a restrictive policy stance.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Extend Gains, Dollar Strengthens

At 9:30 pm

  • S&P 500 rose 0.85% to 5,662

  • Dow Jones gained 0.56% to 41,815.39

  • Nasdaq 100 gained 1.18% to 19,713.56

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.54% to 103.440

  • US 10-year treasury yields stood at 4.307%

US FOMC Live: Barkin Says Fed Should Stay ‘Modestly Restrictive’ On Rates

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin said the central bank should maintain a “modestly restrictive” policy stance to ensure inflation returns to the 2% target.

Speaking in Richmond, Virginia, on Feb. 25, Barkin acknowledged the prolonged inflation fight and stressed the need for patience amid economic uncertainty and policy changes in Washington.

US Fed Meeting Live: Kugler Says Inflation Still Above 2% Target, Rates Should Stay Steady

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said inflation risks remain elevated, suggesting the central bank should hold rates steady for now.

Speaking at Georgetown University on Feb. 20, Kugler noted that recent data indicates inflation pressures persisted in January, with the Fed’s preferred inflation measure likely still above its 2% target. She highlighted ongoing risks and uncertainty, aligning with other policymakers’ cautious stance on rate adjustments.

US Fed Meeting Live: Bostic Expects Two Rate Cuts In 2025 But Warns Of Uncertainty

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he anticipates two interest rate cuts in 2025 but cautioned that uncertainty could alter that outlook.

Speaking to reporters on Feb. 20, Bostic noted that monetary policy is well-positioned but stressed the need for vigilance amid economic and policy uncertainties. In an essay released the same day, he highlighted potential risks affecting inflation and the labour market.

US Fed Meeting Live: Bostic Backs Holding Rates As Fed Assesses Trump’s Policies

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should wait to gauge the economic impact of President Donald Trump’s policies before adjusting interest rates.

Speaking to Yahoo Finance on Feb.19, Bostic stressed the need to assess policies related to trade, regulation, and immigration, noting they could either drive inflation or encourage investment. He supported keeping rates steady in the near term.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Gain, Dollar Advances

At 9 pm

  • S&P 500 rose 0.64% to 5,650

  • Dow Jones gained 0.54% to 41,804

  • Nasdaq 100 gained 0.9% to 19,654

  • US Dollar Index strengthened 0.5% to 103.37

  • US 10-year treasury yields stood at 4.307%

US Fed Meeting: Waller Supports Pausing Rate Cuts Until Inflation Slowdown Is Clear

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said interest rates should remain on hold until inflation shows clearer signs of slowing. However, if inflation trends follow 2024’s pattern, rate cuts could resume later this year.

Speaking in Sydney on Feb. 17, Waller called the recent rise in consumer prices “mildly disappointing” but noted that the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may show a more moderate increase. He also questioned whether the latest inflation data was correctly adjusted for seasonal factors.

US Fed Meeting Live: Harker Backs Holding Rates, Sees Policy As Still Restrictive

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said monetary policy remains restrictive despite last year’s rate cuts, supporting a pause while inflation trends are monitored. He expects rates to decline over time as inflation eases.

Speaking in the Bahamas on Feb. 17, Harker highlighted the resilience of economic growth and a balanced labour market as reasons to keep rates steady. While he did not specify a timeline, he expressed optimism that inflation would continue to decline.

Fed Chief Jerome Powell: Inflation Progress Made, But More Work Remains

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the latest inflation data show significant progress but stressed that the central bank still has more to do. He indicated that interest rates would remain restrictive for now.

Speaking to the House Financial Services Committee on February 12 during his semi-annual testimony, Powell noted that inflation was at 2.6% last year but had not yet reached the Fed’s target. He emphasised the need to maintain a restrictive policy stance to ensure further progress.

US Fed Meeting Live: Tariffs Could Disrupt Supply Chains, Drive Inflation, Says Goolsbee

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned that persistent tariffs could reignite supply-chain disruptions and push inflation higher. He emphasised that the Fed must carefully assess whether inflation in 2025 stems from economic overheating or tariff effects.

Speaking at a Chicago Fed auto conference in Detroit on Feb. 5, Goolsbee highlighted lessons from the pandemic, noting that supply-side disruptions played a key role in past inflation spikes. He cautioned that ignoring tariff-related inflation risks could complicate the Fed’s policy decisions.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Gains, Dollar Strengthens

At 8:30 pm,

  • S&P 500 rose 0.5% to 5,643.20

  • Dow Jones gained 0.6% to 41,842.76

  • Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6% to 19,596

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.5% to 103.40

  • US 10-year treasury yield was at 4.3%

Fed Policymakers To Weigh Trump’s Economic Policies

Federal Reserve officials are monitoring the impact of President Donald Trump’s economic policies, including increased tariffs and stricter immigration measures, on inflation, the labour market, and growth, FOMC minutes showed.

While viewing economic risks as balanced, policymakers saw potential inflationary pressures. “Participants cited the possible effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy, the potential for geopolitical developments to disrupt supply chains, or stronger-than-expected household spending,” the minutes stated.

Fed January 2025 Minutes: Rate Pause Until Inflation Cools

Federal Reserve officials signalled in January that they were prepared to keep interest rates unchanged amid persistent inflation and economic uncertainty.

Minutes from the FOMC’s Jan. 28-29 meeting showed officials wanted to see more progress on inflation before adjusting the federal funds rate. “Many participants noted that the committee could hold the policy rate at a restrictive level if the economy remained strong and inflation remained elevated,” the minutes stated.

US Fed’s January 2025 Decision

In its first meeting since Donald Trump’s return to the presidency, the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50% after three consecutive cuts since September 2024.

The Fed noted steady economic growth and expressed optimism about the labour market. “The unemployment rate has stabilised at a low level in recent months, and labour market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated,” the statement said.

US FOMC Live: US Stock Markets Gain, Dollar Index Advances

At 8:10 pm

  • S&P 500 rose 0.7% to 5652.40

  • Dow Jones gained 0.6% to 41,842.76

  • Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8% to 19,645

  • US Dollar Index rose 0.4% to 103.31

  • US 10-year treasury yield was at 4.3%

FOMC March 2025 Meeting Schedule

The US Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today (March 19) at 2 p.m. ET (11:30 p.m. IST). The FOMC will also release its economic projections. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address the media at 2:30 p.m. ET (12 a.m. IST, March 20) to discuss the policy outlook.

US Fed Meeting Live

Hello and welcome to our live coverage of the US Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

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